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Hello Eric
I’ve been thinking about hedging more than usual at the moment – especially as the USD and EUR are steadily weakening against the CHF. If you look at the long-term trends for these currencies, neither has ever really recovered… For example, the EUR stood at 1.60 in 2008 compared with 0.92 in 2026 // the USD stood at 1.10 in 2008 compared with 0.80 in 2026.
What makes you feel positive about your approach? Are the costs of hedging greater than the potential loss in value of the currencies? Does this mean that, over the long term, hedging isn’t worth it when selecting ETFs?
Thank you very much for your time. Best regards, Cedric
Hello Cedric
That’s an interesting question. That’s exactly the point I’ve been thinking about more deeply again at the moment.
At first glance, the long-term strength of the CHF does indeed suggest that hedging is a good idea. What has made me cautious so far is that, with a global ETF, you don’t simply hold USD or EUR, but rather stakes in global companies with turnover in many different currencies. Furthermore, hedging incurs ongoing costs and, to my knowledge, historical data does not show any clear, sustained return advantage for hedged equity ETFs.
I’m currently thinking about writing a separate post on this with specific calculations. I’d be particularly interested to see how an MSCI World CHF-hedged index would have performed compared to a standard MSCI World index, as well as a combination of a global ETF and the SPI, over 10, 20 and 30 years. The results might well come as a surprise.
If I do the analysis, I’ll of course share it here on Schwiizerfranke.
Kind regards
Eric
What would be the advantages/disadvantages of a CHF-hedged MSCI World Index compared to the USD variant?
Example 2025: MSCI World +10%, but USD to CHF -10% -> Return: 0%
Hi Brandon, thanks for the interesting question!
Your example shows the problem very well. Here are the most important points:
With the CHF-hedged MSCI World, you are protected against precisely such scenarios and have fewer fluctuations in your portfolio. However, you pay hedging costs (depending on the interest rate differential between CHF and USD) and forgo gains if the USD rises.
With the unhedged variant, you save these costs, and in the long term, currency fluctuations often partially offset each other. In the short term, however, exactly your scenario can materialise: +10 % equity returns, but 0 % in CHF.
My take: In the long term (10+ years), hedging the MSCI World is rather unnecessary for most private investors. The costs eat away part of the return over the years, and currencies fluctuate in both directions. However, if you have a shorter investment horizon or want to sleep more soundly, the CHF-hedged variant may well make sense.
Best regards, Eric